Friday, June 27, 2014

Sorting Through All the Varying Soccer Outcomes of USA vs. Germany

When the USA Soccer Team squares off with Germany on Thursday at the 2014 World Cup for their final group stage match, there are countless things that can happen, and a lot also depends upon the other game in the teams’ group between Portugal and Ghana.  While America has done very well in their first 2 games in Brazil, if they lose this one they may well be out of the tournament.  Meanwhile, a glorious performance and victory could result in America progressing through this “group of death” as winners, earning a more favorable matchup for the second round of the proceedings.  But we must also remember that the Germans are amongst the top contenders at the tournament and will be the stiffest test yet for America.

Another problem for our hopes in this game is that Germany will want to win.  In a nightmare scenario for them, should they fall to the USA even they may face elimination from the World Cup!  That prospect alone should mean that they will come out firing, utilizing all the skills of Philip Lahm, Mesut Ozil, Thomas Muller, and Miroslav Klose to put us to bed.  And while a defeat wouldn’t mean the certain end for the USA, if Ghana wins the game by Portugal goal difference will decide who goes through.  This means that despite our fantastic opening victory against Ghana, they might just progress over us.  Similarly, if Portugal wins by a wide margin and the USA loses by several or more goals, they could catch us on goal differential as well, though the advantage by America bodes well in that instance given Portugal’s 4-0 loss to Germany in their opening fixture.

And this brings us to the issue of draws and its benefits to our team.  Should Portugal and Ghana tie, they would both be eliminated and the USA and Germany would both go through.  And more importantly for the USA, should we draw against Germany both teams would progress, with Germany as group winners.  This prospect does suit both teams reasonably well and has brought up the issue that the teams might play for the tie.  Such a conspiracy has drawn immense speculation considering USA manager Jurgen Klinsmann’s ties to Germany.  A former World Cup winning striker for Germany, Klinsmann managed his home country in the 2006 tournament and now leads the American team.  He is close to the entire German national team and staff and shares their nationality!

Most analysts would question the ethics of such a mutual decision between Germany and America to draw, while players on both teams have moved to denounce any such decisions.  In their minds this is a match like any other and will be played to the highest degree of sportsmanship and honest play.  But, if the game is close in the 85th minute and the result beckons warmly for either Portugal or Ghana, what will happen?  Will someone on Germany let in a very soft goal?  Will the players spend the last 5 minutes passing the ball about to ensure the tie? 

As strange as this scenario appears to be, it has actually happened in the past and is one of the few imperfections in an otherwise wonderfully organized competition.  Should the result not go the way of either Portugal or Ghana, you’d better believe they will be clamoring about the injustice, even if Germany and the USA play fair to a hard-fought draw.  It’s a no-win situation for the Americans, and I feel they need to accept that fact and hope that the Germans gift us a draw.  For as tough and competitive as our group seems to be, Germany is a team on another level and could certainly have their way with us if they want.  Hopefully, seeing Klinsmann on our sideline will touch their softer side and give us a fighting hope of progression.  The questions will linger through the game and into the post-match discussions, but let’s just hope that whatever transpires between the USA and Germany will result in America moving on to the round of 16!
 
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